Projecting the Number of Eligible Voters with Disabilities in the November 2016 Elections (Research Report)

Revised with additional tables, September 8, 2016

Dr. Lisa Schur
Professor and Chair
Department of Labor Studies and Employment Relations
Rutgers University (schur@work.rutgers.edu)

Dr. Douglas Kruse
Distinguished Professor
School of Management and Labor Relations
Rutgers University (kruse@smlr.rutgers.edu)

The number of eligible voters with disabilities is growing with the aging of the population and advances in medical technology. This brief report summarizes projections of how many people with disabilities will be eligible to vote in the November 2016 elections, based on analysis of data from the Census Bureau’s 2010-2014 American Community Survey combined with Census Bureau population projections. The methodology is described at the end of the report.
 

The key findings are:

• A projected 35.4 million people with disabilities will be eligible to vote in the November 2016 elections, representing close to one-sixth of the total electorate.

• The number of eligible voters with disabilities has increased 10.8% since 2008, compared to an increase of 8.5% among eligible voters without disabilities.

• There will be 62.7 million eligible voters who either have a disability or have a household member with a disability, more than one-fourth of the total electorate.